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Not So White Christmas

probabilities chart

Probabilities of a white Christmas.

The probabilities shown are based on the years 1950-2014. Columns in red are all Christmases and columns in green are the 22 El Niño Christmases that occurred during this time frame. All but five of the stations shown have lower probabilities of a white Christmas based on the El Niño Decembers. Atlantic City, NJ and Central Park, NY are the only stations to have a higher probability during El Niño years.

probabilities table

A comparison of probabilities of El Niño Christmases and all Christmases during the 1950-2014 time period.

snow cover xmas 2012

Snow cover Christmas 2012

current snow cover

Current snow cover as of December 15th.

These maps were produced by the NOAA, National Operational Hydrologic Remote Sensing Center. The map of 2012 shows the last time that a majority of the Northeast had a white Christmas. Currently only northern portions of Maine have snow cover and the rest of the Northeast is green.

temp outlook

Temperature outlook for December 22-28

The NOAA, Climate Prediction Center’s December 22 - 28 outlook shows 90% probability of above normal temperatures for the entire northeast US. This will likely keep most areas seeing green instead of white this holiday.