A Record Warm Start to November
Average high temperatures during the first week of November were more than 10°F above normal for most areas.
The first week of November was unusually warm in the Northeast, with average high temperatures running more than 10°F above normal for most locations. Portions of New York and northern New England saw departures of more than 16°F. The average high temperature during this year’s November 1-7 period ranked as the warmest on record for multiple sites, with several others experiencing one of their five warmest starts to November. For example, the average high temperature for the period in Caribou, ME, was 63.9°F, 19.2°F above normal and the warmest for the site, beating the previous record by 9.5°F.
Five major climate sites had their warmest November day on record. High temperatures ranked among the 10 warmest for November on multiple days at several other sites.
Daily high temperatures from November 5-7 generally ranged from the mid 60s to low 80s, setting daily temperature records across the region. Twenty-four of the Northeast’s 35 major climate sites experienced one of the 10 warmest November days on record. In fact, five major climate sites - Bridgeport, CT; Burlington, VT; Islip, NY; Kennedy Airport, NY; and Portland, ME - had their warmest November day on record. Some sites even recorded multiple days that ranked among their 10 warmest for November. For example, Bridgeport had its warmest November day on the 7th (79°), its eighth warmest on the 5th (73°F), and its ninth warmest on the 2nd and 6th (72°F both days).
Average low temperatures during the first week of November ranged from 6°F above normal to more than 16°F above normal.
Similar to high temperatures, average low temperatures were also unusually warm, ranging from 6°F above normal to more than 16°F above normal. The average low temperature for the November 1-7 period this year was the warmest on record for a few sites and among the five warmest for several other sites. For instance, the average low temperature for November 1-7 at Central Park, NY, was 57.4°F, which was 12.1°F above normal and the warmest for the site by 2.1°F.
Almost all of the major climate sites had one of their 10 warmest low temperatures for November, with nearly half of them seeing their warmest low temperature for November.
Daily low temperatures on November 5 and 6 ranged from the upper 50s to upper 60s, also setting daily records across the Northeast. All but two of the region’s 35 major climate sites had one of their 10 warmest low temperatures for November. In fact, nearly half of the sites, 17 of them, recorded their warmest low temperature for November. Low temperatures on both days ranked among the 10 warmest at multiple sites. For instance, Albany, NY, had its fourth warmest low temperature for November on the 5th (61°F) and its warmest November low temperature on the 6th (67°F).
November 6 was particularly warm, with 14 major climate sites recording their warmest low temperatures for November.
However, a change in the weather pattern is on the way, with NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center calling for an increased likelihood of below-normal temperatures for the November 13-17 and November 15-21 periods for much of the region.
Another topic of interest is Tropical Storm Nicole, which is expected to strengthen into a hurricane, make landfall in Florida, then move up the East Coast as a tropical storm later this week into the weekend. This could bring excessive rainfall to portions of the Northeast.
Below-normal temperatures are favored for areas shaded blue, with the greatest likelihood in portions of West Virginia. Click to enlarge.